Hello all
First of all one to lay. WHERE’S REILEY (Southwell 12.10) returns to the track after a spring and summer break of 252 days. On his last foray at Southwell, he completed a two-timer and goes up 5lbs in the handicap for his success. Although his stable is currently in decent form, he generally needs the run after a break and the lack of blinkers today is noticeable. I can’t see him winning here, but the current lay odds of 7.8 does not seem conducive to betting. Keep an eye though, if that figure goes in to maybe between 6 and 6.5 then lay him to lose.
RESULT: Very much as I expected, WHERE'S REILEY was ceratinly in need of the run. Drawn on the outside in stall 12, he was in touch until about halfway when he weakened. Went off as a 5/1 second favourite, trading at 6.89 at the off on Betfair.
An hour later at 1.10 NIGHT TRADE makes her debut on Fibresand, after a reasonable spin on the Polytrack at Kempton last Friday when coming in 3rd. It is noticeable that she dons the cheekpieces again (no headgear on Friday), when it seems questionable to me whether she really needs them (maybe something to do with her hanging left in the final furlong at Kempton though). I just think that if she takes to the softer sand surface (she has run well previously on turf with give underfoot), she could reach the frame, so back either each-way or place only.
RESULT: For whatever reason the headgear was re-applied, it didn't help and NIGHT TRADE always lagged behind and was a rather disappointing selection.
- LAY WHERE'S REILEY - Southwell 12.10
- E/W or PLACE NIGHT TRADE - Southwell 1.10
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